Julian Van Erlach's Comments
Dr. Duru,The Campbell paper is much Thomas Sabo Charms Letter V quoted but fails to posit a theory of gold valuation much less arrive at a valuation. It did not appear in a peer reviewed journal; but "The Price of Gold: A Global Required Yield Theory" did: the Jrl. of Investing, offers a theory and valuation model, was validated by $200B Swiss Hedge Fund Lombard Odier, featured on Zero Hedge and MineWeb yet, the press did not pick it up. It also resulted in a patent. at CPI 100 the consol interest buys 2 bottles of wine at a consol price of 100 for a 2% real yield (interest's claim to real goods and services). Now at CPI 200, the consol price is 50, but the fixed interest buys 1 bottle of wine: a 2% real yield. thus, the real required Pandora Murano Glass Bead 001 yield was always constant under the gold standard. Second, every dollar invested in stocks is a dollar of cash available to spend for the seller Pandora Murano Glass Bead 001 or more; since feeling wealthy leads to spending dollars you haven't gotten by selling stocks. That's why spending is up more than incomes and jobs. That's why we're stuck with massive underemployment and no real wage growth. Mint's American Eagle gold coins in June stand at only 47,000 ounces one fifth as much as in all of April, when sales hit Thomas Sabo Earrings Flower a 3 1/2 year high. Silver Eagles sales are down 20 percent."The low prices back in April caused people to bring forward demand. The government also raised the import duty to 8 percent in May to keep a lid on the surging current account deficit."It's difficult to garner capital for paying cash to importing agencies to get the stocks," Rathod said. Some 2012 Pandora Crystal Bead 059 buyers are hoping prices will fall further, he Thomas Sabo Charms Round Ball said. The world's eight largest gold ETFs lost 530 tonnes of gold in the first half of 2013, equivalent to about 10 percent of annual gold production."Net/net, the selling that we've seen over the last few weeks has been stronger than the buying that has come through from the traditional physical markets," says Michael Widmer, an analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch."If you want higher prices, it will not necessarily come through the buy side, sales have to subside." (Additional reporting by A. monetary policy. equities on hopes that the Fed willmaintain its current level of stimulus at the end of its OpenMarket Committee meeting on Wednesday. Traders are trying to anticipate the Fed's timetable forwinding down purchases of $85 billion per month of bonds, aprogram known as quantitative easing. Gold, a traditional inflation hedge, has been under pressureafter top Fed policymakers said the central bank could scaleback its stimulus measures. Analysts said, however, gold could stage a short coveringrally after the conclusion thomas sabo heart necklace of the meeting. "Should the FOMC not come any closer to giving greaterclarification on the asset buying program, then the gold marketcould rally and investors who have been shorting gold inanticipation of a Fed move away from QE may have to cover," saidJames Steel, chief precious metals analyst at HSBC. "This could prompt a challenge of the $1,400 an ouncelevel," Steel said. EDT (1636 GMT). Comex gold futures for August Pandora Murano Glass Bead 001 delivery fell $16an ounce to $1,367.10. monetary policy may be reined in Pandora Murano Glass Bead 001 havehelped knock gold prices 18 percent lower this year. Goldanalysts say that move may have become overdone, however. "Gold is trading weaker on the fear that the FOMC may reducethe volume (of quantitative easing)," said Peter Fertig, aconsultant at Quantitative Commodity Research. "But if anythingthey will be scaling out gradually, there will not be an abruptend to QE." INDIAN, CHINESE BUYERS HOLD OFF Physical demand retreated in India and China, the top twoconsumers of bullion, from peak levels reached after a steepsell off in April. A Hong Kong precious metals trader said premiums there hadfallen to Pandora Murano Glass Bead 001 $2 an ounce over London spot prices, from a high of $6last month. Hong Kong sells mainly to buyers in China. Any signs of a significant slowdown in the Chinese marketwould be a big blow to bullion prices because investors expectChina to offset slower buying from India. Demand in India has eased since the government increased theimport duty on bullion by a third in an effort to reduce itscurrent account deficit. Among other precious metals, silver was down 0.7percent at $21.67 an ounce. Platinum gained 0.5 percentto $1,437.25 an ounce and palladium fell 1 percent to$705.72 an ounce. EDT (1636 GMT)
Jun 26 10:38 PMHi Jay,The Fed has given banks reserves in exchange for "assets" (loans) that had no return interest or most of principal; except for the bailout. The Fed then put those assets on its books. The market would have annihilated those assets; thus, instead of a net reduction in capital of some large fraction of $3.3 trillion, we still have that $3.3 trillion plus the money created to buy it or about $6.6 trillion plus QE3.